In recent years, Azerbaijan has amplified its campaign to "restore the rights of Western Azerbaijanis," using this rhetoric to heighten diplomatic pressure on Armenia. President Ilham Aliyev has been vocal in demanding that Yerevan facilitate a UNESCO mission to monitor cultural heritage, accusing Armenia of evading dialogue. Many in Armenia interpret these actions as a calculated effort to legitimize territorial expansion under the guise of justice and rights.
Meanwhile, Armenia faces critical vulnerabilities in its diplomacy and strategic planning. Missteps in negotiations with Azerbaijan and a lack of proactive international engagement have allowed Baku to solidify its position. Azerbaijan has adeptly exploited these weaknesses, polishing its image on the global stage and presenting itself as a proponent of justice and fairness.
How can Armenia hold its ground? Strategic Paths for Yerevan: To counter Azerbaijan’s advancing influence, Armenia must urgently recalibrate its domestic and foreign policies. A comprehensive and united approach is vital for resisting Baku’s expansionist aspirations.
- Leadership Renewal and a Unified National Strategy
A leadership change in Armenia could enable a much-needed strategic pivot. The current government’s credibility has been undermined by significant concessions, such as recognizing Karabakh as part of Azerbaijan and initiating plans that compromise Armenia’s military strength. A new leadership must prioritize territorial integrity, bolster defense capabilities, promote economic recovery, and rebuild trust with allies. Unity within Armenian society and the diaspora is essential to mobilize resources and consolidate national strength.
- Diplomacy on the Offensive
Armenia must significantly enhance its diplomatic initiatives, shifting from a defensive stance to an assertive presence on international platforms. The Armenian diaspora and political opposition should work together to clearly articulate Armenia's narrative. Building and strengthening alliances, particularly in the context of a balanced regional power dynamic, is crucial.
- Harnessing the Power of the Diaspora
The Armenian diaspora is a powerful asset. From influencing global public opinion to financing key development and security projects, the diaspora can make a substantial impact. However, its potential can only be fully realized with the guidance and support of a capable national government.
The Path Forward: The greatest challenge for Armenia lies in forging unity among its government, opposition, and diaspora. A leadership change alone will not suffice—it must be part of a broader, well-defined national strategy. Success depends on a shared vision, a cohesive action plan, and an unwavering commitment to defend Armenia's interests in a volatile geopolitical landscape. In this critical moment, Armenia must rally its strengths, strategically navigate the challenges, and solidify its position on the global stage to resist Baku's ambitions.
#Armenia #Azerbaijan #Geopolitics #SouthCaucasus
